Election 2024
Election Preview
Analysts are watching both Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump for potential regulatory picks, as well as how strongly Trump advocates for policies like tariffs and deportations that could impact the economy, inflation and bankers' prospects.
Markets welcomed the news of a second Trump presidency.
"If you had the Trump trade on for the last six weeks, it's been outstanding," said Ed Al-Hussainy, a rates strategist at Columbia Threadneedle Investment. "The question is these winning runs don't last forever and is this a good time to take profits."
While the message from investors is broadly positive, there is also a stern warning in the market gyrations.
The surge in Treasury yields underscores concerns that Trump's policies will swell an already bloated budget deficit and reignite an inflation spiral that the Federal Reserve was only just finally quelling in the wake of the pandemic.
Vice President Kamala Harris outlined a raft of populist economic proposals in her first major economic speech since securing the Democratic presidential nomination, including some aimed at lowering housing costs and boosting supply.
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The failures of Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank and First Republic shook the banking system and sparked renewed debate among regulators and lawmakers about deposit insurance, bank capital and liquidity rules and resolvability. One year later, some of those policy debates have fallen by the wayside while others have been amplified.
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Graham Steele, formerly the assistant secretary for financial institutions at the Treasury Department, laid out a detailed bank regulatory reform agenda for future progressive policymakers to consider that includes rolling bank Trump administration-era tailoring rules and accounting for the increased digitization of the banking system.
August 1 -
Election speculation about policy change at Fannie Mae has boosted its stock slightly this year. It's also profitable, but there's much more to consider.
July 30 -
Sen. Cynthia Lummis announced a forthcoming bill that would require the government to hold 5% of the global bitcoin supply. Presidential candidates Donald Trump and Robert F. Kennedy Jr. have also called for strategic holdings of the cryptocurrency.
July 29 -
As a senator, the likely Democratic nominee for President championed an agency that did early work on payment technology, setting the stage for a central bank digital currency.
July 26 -
Despite being a top concern for a wide swath of voters, housing affordability has largely been absent from presidential politics.
July 26