Election 2024

Election Preview

Trump Harris

What's at stake for bankers in the 2024 election

Analysts are watching both Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump for potential regulatory picks, as well as how strongly Trump advocates for policies like tariffs and deportations that could impact the economy, inflation and bankers' prospects.

Markets welcomed the news of a second Trump presidency.

"If you had the Trump trade on for the last six weeks, it's been outstanding," said Ed Al-Hussainy, a rates strategist at Columbia Threadneedle Investment. "The question is these winning runs don't last forever and is this a good time to take profits."

While the message from investors is broadly positive, there is also a stern warning in the market gyrations.

The surge in Treasury yields underscores concerns that Trump's policies will swell an already bloated budget deficit and reignite an inflation spiral that the Federal Reserve was only just finally quelling in the wake of the pandemic. 

Read about how they reacted here.

18d ago
New York City's Election Night
Bankers favor Trump for regulatory relief
18d ago
Bank group urges bankers to make friends across political spectrum
18d ago
Treasury building

Graham Steele, formerly the assistant secretary for financial institutions at the Treasury Department, laid out a detailed bank regulatory reform agenda for future progressive policymakers to consider that includes rolling bank Trump administration-era tailoring rules and accounting for the increased digitization of the banking system.

August 1
4 Min Read

Multimedia

Capital, liquidity and politics: Silicon Valley Bank one year later
The failures of Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank and First Republic shook the banking system and sparked renewed debate among regulators and lawmakers about deposit insurance, bank capital and liquidity rules and resolvability. One year later, some of those policy debates have fallen by the wayside while others have been amplified.


Additional coverage
trump-donald-bl110416-365.jpg

The Republican presidential nominee laid out his economic platform during a speech at the Economic Club of New York.

September 5
Vice President Kamala Harris

The increase would "ensure that the wealthy and big corporations pay their fair share" at a level that also "rewards investment in America's innovators, founders and small businesses," Harris said.

September 5
President Trump speaks as Jerome Powell, then governor of the Federal Reserve and Trump's nominee as chairman of the Federal Reserve, left, listens during a nomination announcement in the Rose Garden of the White House in Washington on Nov. 2, 2017.

The Federal Reserve's independence in setting monetary policy is critical to global confidence in U.S. markets and the dollar's status as reserve currency of choice. Making those functions constitutionally separate from the executive branch is the best way to ensure that independence.

September 3
Vacant Houses

Vice President Kamala Harris has pledged to build 3 million new housing units over her first term. Rehabilitating vacant housing might be one of the most cost-effective ways to meet that goal — and address many other problems at the same time.

August 27
Donald Trump speaking at a rally
Tax

The Republican nominee for president wants to renew the provisions of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act.

August 23
Sen. Kamala Harris, D-Calif.

Vice President Kamala Harris' pledge to deliver 3 million homes has drawn applause from homebuilders, lenders and affordability advocates, but experts are uncertain how her administration would pull it off.

August 23