Election 2024

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Trump Harris

What's at stake for bankers in the 2024 election

Analysts are watching both Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump for potential regulatory picks, as well as how strongly Trump advocates for policies like tariffs and deportations that could impact the economy, inflation and bankers' prospects.

Markets welcomed the news of a second Trump presidency.

"If you had the Trump trade on for the last six weeks, it's been outstanding," said Ed Al-Hussainy, a rates strategist at Columbia Threadneedle Investment. "The question is these winning runs don't last forever and is this a good time to take profits."

While the message from investors is broadly positive, there is also a stern warning in the market gyrations.

The surge in Treasury yields underscores concerns that Trump's policies will swell an already bloated budget deficit and reignite an inflation spiral that the Federal Reserve was only just finally quelling in the wake of the pandemic. 

Read about how they reacted here.

14d ago
New York City's Election Night
Bankers favor Trump for regulatory relief
15d ago
Bank group urges bankers to make friends across political spectrum
15d ago
Donald Trump at his election victory party in November 2024.

Former President Donald Trump rode waves of voter discontent over inflation to win key swing states that he lost in 2020 and reach the necessary 270 votes. He told supporters Wednesday morning that he's been given "an unprecedented and powerful mandate."

November 6
3 Min Read

Multimedia

Capital, liquidity and politics: Silicon Valley Bank one year later
The failures of Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank and First Republic shook the banking system and sparked renewed debate among regulators and lawmakers about deposit insurance, bank capital and liquidity rules and resolvability. One year later, some of those policy debates have fallen by the wayside while others have been amplified.


Additional coverage

Once a crypto skeptic, Trump corralled tens of millions of dollars in industry support for Republican candidates by promising to make America the Bitcoin superpower of the world.

November 6
From Dollar To Stocks, Trump Trade Erupts Across Markets

An index of bank stocks rose 8.5% early Wednesday after Donald Trump won his bid to return to the White House.

November 6
Donald Trump at his election victory party in November 2024.

Former President Donald Trump rode waves of voter discontent over inflation to win key swing states that he lost in 2020 and reach the necessary 270 votes. He told supporters Wednesday morning that he's been given "an unprecedented and powerful mandate."

November 6
Republican Presidential Nominee Donald Trump Holds Election Night Event In West Palm Beach

Donald Trump quickly put his stamp on financial markets as his march toward victory in the US presidential election propelled "Trump Trade" plays across assets. 

November 6
Democratic Representatives Schiff, Swalwell, And Omar News Conference On Committee Assignments

Adam Schiff, known as a pro-cryptocurrency lawmaker, has also introduced bills that would regulate "revolving door" employment at banking regulators.

November 5
Katie Porter

California's 47th Congressional district, which is being vacated by Rep. Katie Porter, D-Calif., after her unsuccessful bid for California's senate seat, is being sought by law professor and Democrat David Min, who has been an outspoken progressive on banking issues. Running against him is Republican Scott Baugh, who ran unsuccessfully against Porter in 2022.

November 5