Election 2024
Election Preview
Analysts are watching both Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump for potential regulatory picks, as well as how strongly Trump advocates for policies like tariffs and deportations that could impact the economy, inflation and bankers' prospects.
Markets welcomed the news of a second Trump presidency.
"If you had the Trump trade on for the last six weeks, it's been outstanding," said Ed Al-Hussainy, a rates strategist at Columbia Threadneedle Investment. "The question is these winning runs don't last forever and is this a good time to take profits."
While the message from investors is broadly positive, there is also a stern warning in the market gyrations.
The surge in Treasury yields underscores concerns that Trump's policies will swell an already bloated budget deficit and reignite an inflation spiral that the Federal Reserve was only just finally quelling in the wake of the pandemic.
Analysts are watching both Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump for potential regulatory picks, as well as how strongly Trump advocates for policies like tariffs and deportations that could impact the economy, inflation and bankers' prospects.
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The failures of Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank and First Republic shook the banking system and sparked renewed debate among regulators and lawmakers about deposit insurance, bank capital and liquidity rules and resolvability. One year later, some of those policy debates have fallen by the wayside while others have been amplified.
California's 47th Congressional district, which is being vacated by Rep. Katie Porter, D-Calif., after her unsuccessful bid for California's senate seat, is being sought by law professor and Democrat David Min, who has been an outspoken progressive on banking issues. Running against him is Republican Scott Baugh, who ran unsuccessfully against Porter in 2022.
The impact of both presidential candidates' fiscal promises around taxation and spending could have dramatic effects on the Federal Reserve's outlook for monetary policy, which has become more aggressive toward rooting out inflation.
Investors brushed off a potentially prolonged week of U.S. election results and instead focused on fresh economic data.
Banks have favored the low-regulation vision of former President Donald Trump in the 2024 election, but his victory could imperil institutions and norms that banks rely on. Vice President Kamala Harris is more likely to preserve the status quo — including the Biden regulatory agenda.
Analysts are watching both Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump for potential regulatory picks, as well as how strongly Trump advocates for policies like tariffs and deportations that could impact the economy, inflation and bankers' prospects.
Potential new Senate Finance Committee Chair Sen. Mike Crapo, R-Idaho, has suggested a potential workaround to offset the cost of extending the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act.
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Rep. Zach Nunn, R-Iowa, has won endorsements from key banking industry players this election year with his support for the ACRE Act. Here's why rural banking might be a winning issue in the toss-up race.
October 23
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Eric Hovde, CEO of Sunwest Bank and Republican nominee for Senate in Wisconsin, is running a tight race against incumbent Democratic Sen. Tammy Baldwin. In an interview with American Banker, Hovde talked about wanting to deregulate the banking industry and bring financial savvy to Washington.
October 15
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In their only vice presidential debate, Democratic nominee and Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz talked about how housing should not be considered a "commodity," while Republican Sen. J.D. Vance tied housing shortages to illegal immigration and government regulation.
October 1
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After Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump said he intends to place a temporary cap on credit card interest rates, many felt the plan would create a large constriction of credit.
September 20
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Merchants and card networks have battled over interchange rates for years. How will the next president change the fight?
September 20
