Economic news

The president exempted Mexican and Canadian goods covered by the North American trade agreement from his 25% tariffs, offering reprieves to America's two largest trading partners.

Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said the president is likely to defer his 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico for all goods and services covered by the North American trade agreement.

As steep tariffs on Canadian goods took effect this week, banks on both sides of the border expressed concern about the economic fallout and the uncertainty their customers face.

A March 2025 survey by the National Association for Business Economics shows growing inflation concerns — and a diminishing chance of rate cuts — in 2025, but also optimism about avoiding a recession.

Notably, Trump described the January decision to hold rates steady – which looks set to be the Fed's stance for some time — as "the right thing to do."

The Federal Reserve's preferred inflation index showed little progress toward its target of 2%, increasing the likelihood of a prolonged rate pause.

President Donald Trump's 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico are on track to go into place on Tuesday and he plans to impose an additional 10% tax on Chinese imports, moves that would deepen his fight with the nation's largest trading partners.

Federal Reserve Vice Chair Philip Jefferson said clearer Fed communication and better text analysis has made monetary policy transmission more efficient, but noted that the central bank must remain diligent in how it communicates forward monetary policy guidance.

The Federal Reserve appears to be on hold, waiting for clarity on inflation and fiscal policy. The March 19th Federal Open Market Committee meeting, with a new Summary of Economic Projections will illuminate members' revised thoughts on interest rates. Join us March 20 at 12:00 pm as Mike Goosay, Chief Investment Officer of Global Fixed Income at Principal Asset Management, breaks down the meeting, Chair Powell's press conference and the SEP.

Serious delinquencies on auto loans rose to almost 3% in the fourth quarter of 2024, according to the New York Fed. Researchers blame the affordability problem on soaring car prices.