The Newcomer
The Bankruptcy Specialists
Tidewater Finance Co. has been making subprime auto loans through franchised and independent auto dealers since 1995; in 2001 it launched a product targeted at consumers who had recently entered or had been discharged from Chapter 7 bankruptcy. The "341 loan program" takes its name from what is referred to as a "341 hearing," generally held 30 to 45 days after a debtor files for bankruptcy protection. Between this program and a traditional subprime program, Tidewater Motor has expanded to service close to 1,000 auto dealerships in over 30 states.
The Last Resorts
J.D. Byrider, based in Carmel, Ind., and majority-owned by private equity firm Altamont Capital Partners, also focuses on lower-quality borrowers with FICO scores typically ranging from 525 to 550 About 23.16% of the loans in company's latest securitization, completed in 2015, have no FICO score. Kroll's base-case loss expectation for this transaction is 24.75% to 26.75%.
Special Forces
Security National Automotive Acceptance Co., a nonbank lender based in Ohio that caters to this market, benefits from an another feature: it lends primarily to service members who agree to make payments via the U.S. military's automated electronic
Flagship Credit Acceptance, founded in 2005 by CEO Michael Ritter, an auto industry veteran, and controlled by private equity firm Perella Weinberg, has been catering to service members since 2012. However, the $185 million funded through this program accounts for a small portion of the company's total assets of $2.7 billion. In January 2015, Flagship merged with CarFinance Capital, bringing the CarFinance.com direct lending portal under its fold. Defaults and collections substantially increased in 2015, as its 31-60 day delinquency rates increased to 5.48% (112 basis points higher than in 2014) and net chargeoffs nearly doubled to $102.11 million.
The Survivors
Drivetime Automotive is another longtime securitizer, with more than 50 transactions since 1996. It operates in the deep subprime market with an average FICO score of 546. S&P expects the company's securitizations issued from 2012 onward to incur cumulative net losses of 26% to 30.5%. It no longer originates any loans without installing GPS devices and payment reminder functionality on the vehicle sold (though it does not employ
Exeter Finance Corp., majority owned by The Blackstone Group, was founded in 2006, and has 11 outstanding securitizations. It is largely fed by its CarMax new and late-model used-car origination channel (approximately 30%), but has ties to 9,000 dealerships nationwide. The company, which has portfolio concentrations in Texas, Florida and California, reported several consecutive years of net losses before turning a modest profit in 2015. It has grown to $3.175 billion in managed portfolio assets through 2 million loans, but S&P worries that this growth "may have come at the expense of credit quality and adequate infrastructure."
Consumer Portfolio Services has been a regular issuer in the asset-backed market since 1994, and has completed 22 deals since the financial crisis, according to S&P. The company returned to profitability in the fourth quarter of 2011 and has remained in the black since then. It has been increasing its origination volume but in a "controlled manner," according to the rating agency, with a total managed portfolio of $1.9 billion as of September 2015, up from $1.5 billion one year earlier but off from a $2.1 billion peak in 2007. However, cumulative net losses on deals completed between 2012 and 2014 are higher than S&P originally expected and could reach 15.50% to 16.50%.
The Banks
Ally Financial, formerly known as General Motors Acceptance Corp., returned to the securitization market in January 2013 after a four-year hiatus. As of Dec. 31, 2015, it had 1.734 million retail contracts outstanding. Delinquencies and losses have been on an upward trend since 2012, reflecting an increase in longer-term loans as well as a decrease in loans with interest rates that are subvented, or subsidized, after its relationships with General Motors and Chrysler ended. For 2015, the portfolio's net losses increased to 1.61% from 1.47% the previous year. The portfolio's 30-plus-day delinquencies increased to 5.59% at Dec. 31, 2015, from 4.91% at Dec. 31, 2014. Still, losses remain lower than in 2009.