BankThink

The next great investment boom in America isn't where you think it is

BankThink re: the U.S. "reindustrializing"
The United States is reindustrializing, with a focus on manufacturing and advanced production. For investors willing to move beyond conventional narratives, these sectors offer substantial growth potential, writes HSBC's Lisa McGeough.
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For the past decade, U.S. exceptionalism has defined global markets, driven by the consistent outperformance of American equities. However, a weak start to 2025 has challenged this narrative, prompting investors to reconsider their assumptions. While enthusiasm around AI and digital transformation has kept tech stocks in focus, the broader market's struggles raise a pressing question: Could the next big investment opportunity come not from cutting-edge innovation, but from the resurgence of traditional industries?

One of the most overlooked and counterintuitive trends in today's market is the surge of capital flowing into traditional sectors — industrial manufacturing, energy production and infrastructure development. While stock market excitement has centered on digital innovation, some of the most significant investment opportunities are emerging in industries long dismissed as slow-growth or cyclical. This shift is not just a market rotation — it reflects deeper structural changes in the U.S. economy that are poised to reshape capital flows, economic expansion and global trade patterns.

For decades, globalization drove industrial production offshore. But today, in a profound reversal, the U.S. is experiencing a manufacturing and infrastructure investment boom not seen since the postwar era. Investors who assume that future returns will be driven solely by software and AI may be missing one of the biggest economic transformations of the 21st century.

The next great investment boom is happening right here in the U.S. — in the industrial corridors of the Midwest, the manufacturing hubs of the South, and the energy fields of Texas and Pennsylvania. The U.S. economy is entering a new era of investment-led growth, transforming from a consumer-driven powerhouse to a global production and innovation leader.

This resurgence isn't theoretical — it's happening at scale. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, or TSMC, is investing $100 billion in U.S. chip manufacturing; Micron Technology is committing $20 billion to new factories in New York; and Saudi Arabia's Public Investment Fund has allocated over $600 billion toward U.S. investments. Foreign capital is pouring in to fuel this transformation, reflecting a broader shift in global capital flows.

The biggest untold story in investment? America is reindustrializing.

For decades, globalization pushed industrial production offshore, leading investors to chase returns in emerging markets. But today, a reversal is underway. The U.S. is reindustrializing at a pace not seen since the post-World War II boom, and the investment community is only beginning to take notice.

Research highlights the critical role of U.S. manufacturing in economic growth. While manufacturing accounts for just 10% of U.S. GDP and 8% of direct employment, it drives 15% of capital investment, 30% of productivity growth, 60% of exports and 70% of business R&D funding. The strategic shift toward reshoring and advanced manufacturing is strengthening supply chain resilience, making the U.S. a magnet for global investment.

Consider these trends:

Private capital is flowing into manufacturing at record levels. Companies are reshoring production, reducing supplier dependence and investing in domestic facilities to mitigate supply chain risks. According to HSBC's Global Supply Chains – Networks of Tomorrow report, 64% of corporations plan to reduce their supplier base in the next two years, indicating a long-term shift in sourcing strategies.

Foreign direct investment, or FDI, into U.S. factories is outpacing many emerging markets. Companies are prioritizing resilience overshort-term labor cost advantages, leading to significant capital commitments in U.S. manufacturing hubs.

Advanced industrial technologies are making "Made in America" competitive again. AI, robotics and next-gen supply chain systems are driving efficiency, reducing costs and reshaping industrial production. HSBC Global Research's Funding the Future survey, published in January, found that AI and automation are top investment themes, with cloud and AI software leading technology investments.

This shift isn't a passing trend — it's a structural transformation that will shape capital flows for the next decade. Investors who still see the U.S. as a services-driven, consumer-led economy risk missing one of the biggest investment opportunities of the 21st century.

Huntington Bancshares says it is especially well positioned to benefit from a commercial lending boom that could accompany a revival of U.S. heavy industry, but other lenders also say they are upbeat.

January 25
Huntington CEO Stephen Steinour

While the world's attention remains fixed on digital transformation, AI and clean energy (all crucial areas and major drivers of innovation), some of the highest-return opportunities are emerging in "old economy" sectors that were once dismissed as low-growth or in decline.

Heavy industry, energy and infrastructure are at the center of the next capital cycle. Long considered stagnant, these sectors are being reshaped into high-growth, high-tech industries by policy incentives and market demand.

The new frontier for technology investment isn't just software — it's industrial automation, materials science and energy production. These innovations are driving efficiency and making traditional industries more competitive.

The next wave of job creation will come from a range of sectors. While technology startups will continue to be a critical force for growth, industrial manufacturing and advanced production are also emerging as major job creators, signaling a broad-based expansion of the U.S. economy.

For investors willing to move beyond conventional narratives, these sectors offer substantial growth potential, fueled by both policy support and private sector demand.

So, what does this mean for capital markets and business leaders? The implications for global investors and business leaders are profound:

First, the U.S. will play an even bigger role in global capital markets. The scale of investment pouring into American industrial sectors will drive unprecedented capital inflows, both domestic and international.

Financial institutions must step up. The demand for financing, trade support and cross-border capital will surge, requiring banks to play a central role in funding the next wave of economic expansion.

Once overlooked sectors could become core investment pillars. Asset managers and corporate leaders will need to rethink capital allocation strategies as industries like manufacturing, energy and industrial automation become the new growth drivers.

This transformation is happening in real time, reshaping how businesses navigate a shifting investment landscape. The 150-year presence of global banks in the United States, including HSBC, reflects the broader evolution of financial institutions as they adapt to market changes and economic shifts. As investment trends shift, new opportunities are emerging closer to home rather than offshore.

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