If any businesses have begun shifting cash from banks to money market funds now that unlimited insurance for demand deposits is gone, they’ve done so modestly so far.
The looming Dec. 31 expiration of the temporary deposit insurance, launched during the financial crisis
Though large banks held the vast majority of the deposits covered by the Transaction Account Guarantee program,
There is also a widespread expectation that some of the overall
Within money market funds, the number of shares held by institutions has been far more volatile than retail holdings (see the second tab). When the Reserve Primary Fund “broke the buck” in late 2008 – its net asset value fell below $1 a share because of losses on debt issued by Lehman Brothers, which had filed for bankruptcy – institutions mounted a run on money funds that invest in private debt and fled for the safety of deposits and funds that invest almost entirely in government debt.
The financial crisis also inaugurated a period of turbulence during which about $1.2 trillion, equivalent to a third of the industry’s peak size, bled from money funds overall, while bank deposits have continued to grow sharply. (Another sudden exodus from nongovernment money funds occurred in mid-2011 during a
The inverse relationship between deposits and money market fund shares appears clearly in cash allocations at corporations and households: the trends look like mirror images (see the third tab in the graphic above).
But whatever the repercussions from the expiration of TAG, they’re not happening overnight.