When thinking about ringing in 2023, who are the protagonists whose stories we'll be telling in the pages of American Banker? We've assembled a list of 23 people we expect to make news this year in the banking industry, both for the positive things they do and for the less beneficial impacts of their work on bankers and the American consumer and businessperson.
Scroll through to see who we think you'll be reading about here over the next year.
Beverly Anderson
Anderson, one of the few Black female CEOs in financial services, now leads the fourth-largest credit union, with $30.2 billion in assets.
"As a credit union, BECU is guided by our purpose of bringing people together to improve upon the financial well-being of our members and the communities we serve. It's one of the driving reasons I was interested in joining BECU as CEO. People depend on their financial institutions to provide them with the right services, products and advice. Over the next year, I look forward to working with our teams to identify innovative solutions in addition to developing partnerships to help serve the needs of more people in reimagined and more meaningful ways, Anderson said.
BECU lags behind other credit unions on the technology front, and is now undergoing a multiyear digital transformation. The goal is to automate certain labor-intensive manual processes like gathering customer data and allow staff to spend more time giving customers in-person advice on investments and loans.
Anderson will also have to address
Anderson has the right combination of experience and leadership skills that are needed to bring BECU up to speed. She was the president of global consumer solutions at Equifax from 2019 to 2022, and was responsible for businesses serving consumers with credit, identity and financial education products and services. Before Equifax, Anderson drove consumer and small-business strategies, product strategies and enterprise growth and profitability strategies for First USA, Fleet and American Express. She was also the executive vice president of cards and retail services at Wells Fargo, where she led consumer credit cards, co-brand cards, loyalty solutions, retail finance, digital payments and enablement capabilities. —Mary Ellen Egan
Sam Bankman-Fried
In 2023, it's likely that either the crypto sector will continue its descent into "winter," or the federal government will get serious about overseeing it, or perhaps both. Another likely consequence: Bankman-Fried, the son of Stanford Law School professors, was long a proponent of the Effective Altruism movement, a philanthropic ideal that encouraged adherents to get high-paying jobs and give the vast majority of their earnings away. Now that his company has failed, it remains to be seen whether Silicon Valley and the world of finance will continue to idolize "EA." – Chana R. Schoenberger
Michael Barr
Barr, a former Treasury official in the Obama administration, was serving as the dean of the Gerald R. Ford School of Public Policy at the University of Michigan before being sworn in as the second vice chair for supervision at the Fed
In a
Barr has also become a vocal critic of cryptocurrency, saying
Greg Becker
That leaves the $213 billion-asset SVB, parent company of Silicon Valley Bank, bracing for the fallout. During a third-quarter earnings call,
Still, despite these short-term concerns, Becker remained optimistic about SVB's business model and the continuing importance of tech innovators to the rest of the economy.
"Every industry is being impacted by it, disrupted by it and supported by it," he said earlier this year. "And that's what we're banking on." —Jackie Stewart
Jeffrey Brown
The road may get a bit bumpier for Ally — and any lender with a significant auto portfolio — if the recent dip in used auto prices deepens. Lower auto prices would reduce the value of the collateral that would protect lenders during a recession.
CEO Jeffrey Brown, who was American Banker's
"We continue to believe they will gradually come down," Brown said. "But all of that is factored in the way we price and manage the risk."
Ally, of course, does more than make used-auto loans. It also offers new-car loans and helps dealers finance their floor plans, two business segments that could get a boost once the shortage in semiconductor chips — which has limited the supply of cars — ebbs.
Ally also offers personal loans, mortgages and investment tools, and it's ramping up its credit card offerings after the 2021 acquisition of a card issuer.
That growth is fed by Ally's online deposits, which Brown says have remained sticky even as interest rate increases lead to more competition among online banks. The bank has a 96% retention rate on its retail deposits.
"I challenge any bank to show us something better than that," Brown said. —Polo Rocha
Jamie Dimon
Among his latest takes: All of the spending consumers are doing to keep up with inflation may push the economy into a recession in the early part of next year. Even if the Federal Reserve raises short-term rates to 5%, it may not be enough to stem inflation, Dimon said in an interview with CNBC earlier this month.
In 2022, well before companies from technology to real estate shed workers in 2022, Dimon predicted a weakening U.S. economy. Dimon's observations will be particularly relevant in 2023, when the U.S. economy is expected to fall into a recession for the first time since 2020.
The recent bankruptcy of FTX and several other crypto firms also lends credence to Dimon's long-held skepticism of cryptocurrency. He compared cryptocurrency tokens to "pet rocks" earlier this month. – Orla McCaffrey
Jack Dorsey
Square established its reputation as a firm that allows smartphones to accept credit cards, but the company has more recently been laying the groundwork to invent a super app by selling products to both merchants and consumers. Block has become a major player in buy now/pay later lending through its acquisition of
Both BNPL and crypto are under fire from regulators and investors, and Dorsey's ability to guide Block through the storm will go a long way toward the success of its super app. Block also has a lot of competition in that regard as firms as varied as
"The models have inspired would-be copycats worldwide. Many in the West including Square and Revolut, incrementally, have been pushing to provide ever more services to consumers, to become super apps or perhaps mini-super apps," said Eric Grover, a principal at Intrepid Ventures. —John Adams
Rohit Chopra
Chopra also is expected to come under blistering attack next year from Republican lawmakers.The CFPB is headed to a second showdown in the U.S. Supreme Court over whether its funding is constitutional. Meanwhile, Republicans are proposing bills to put the agency under congressional appropriations and change its leadership from a single director to a bipartisan commission.
At the core of industry's concerns are a few novel ways that Chopra has used to enact major changes outside the normal notice-and-comment rulemaking process. The CFPB was sued over such a change in September after Chopra announced that the bureau had updated its supervisory exam manual to state, for the first time, that discrimination on the basis of age, race or sex — regardless of intent — violates the federal prohibition on "unfair, deceptive or abusive acts or practices," or UDAAP. The policy caused a massive uproar, and litigation is ongoing.
This month, Chopra upset nonbanks by proposing to create a public registry of repeat corporate offenders. He has angered bankers by launching a crackdown on so-called junk fees. Bankers also fear Chopra will lower interest rate caps on credit cards. Chopra has become the most feared regulator largely because of his willingness to use back-door channels to enact major changes, making him one of the most important regulators to watch in 2023. — Kate Berry
Misha Esipov
Heading into 2023, Nova Credit, which is led by founder and CEO Misha Esipov, is making its biggest move yet. The company announced a partnership with HSBC in September, so the global bank can more easily evaluate the credit histories of its fast-growing immigrant segment. It also marks the first time Nova Credit is using its data to serve migrant corridors outside of the U.S.
Esipov
Richard Fairbank
Given these conditions, many are likely to be watching Capital One's credit card portfolio — the
However, through the third quarter, Capital One's credit quality seemed to be solid. Net charge-offs ticked up but remained within expectations from Wall Street analysts. Instead, the McLean, Virginia, company missed on analysts' expectations for earnings per share due, in part, to
Fairbank and Capital One are also heading in 2023 buoyed by being released from
Jane Fraser
"In response to changes in reproductive health care laws in certain states in the U.S., beginning in 2022 we provide travel benefits to facilitate access to adequate resources," the bank said in its annual meeting notice on March 15th.
The move came months before the Supreme Court decision reversing Roe V. Wade, which guaranteed a constitutional right to abortion. When that decision came down in June, other big banks followed Citi's lead, announcing they would reimburse for employees' abortion-related expenses.
Fraser, who was No. 1 on American Banker's Most Powerful Women in Banking list in
She's also been leading the charge for diversity and inclusion at Citi. Last spring, following a three-year effort to boost representation of women and minorities in its senior ranks, the bank announced that it had exceeded its original targets for increasing the number of women and Black executives in its ranks, from 37% to 40.6% and 6% to 8.1%, respectively.
All eyes will be on Fraser to see if Citi maintains its leadership role on workplace, social and human resources issues even as she streamlines the global company and overhauls its risk management systems. —Mary Ellen Egan
Gary Gensler
The one person most likely to influence new crypto rules is Gary Gensler, chairperson of the Securities and Exchange Commission.
Gensler's has been the loudest voice calling for regulation of digital assets, making multiple appearances before Congress and initiating lawsuits against crypto companies. When Sam Bankman-Fried, founder and CEO of FTX, was arrested in mid-December, it was an SEC complaint that kicked off the government action.
"The alleged fraud committed by Mr. Bankman-Fried is a clarion call to crypto platforms that they need to come into compliance with our laws," Gensler said. "Compliance protects both those who invest on and those who invest in crypto platforms with time-tested safeguards, such as properly protecting customer funds and separating conflicting lines of business. … To those platforms that don't comply with our securities laws, the SEC's Enforcement Division is ready to take action."–Penny Crosman
Martin Gruenberg
Part of what the administration gained with Gruenberg's nomination — which recently
Gruenberg has also proven to be a critic of cryptocurrency and a skeptic about its integration into the broader financial system. The FDIC under Gruenberg's leadership
Gruenberg also
Frank Holding
With the deal now complete after some delay, next year Holding will work on turning the Raleigh-based bank into the dynamic, coast-to-coast financial institution he envisioned when he signed the deal for CIT Group.
Holding, whose father and grandfather also took turns leading First Citizens, has called the deal a "transformational milestone" in the bank's 124-year history.
In 2023, watch for Holding to continue writing the playbook for turning a regional bank with strong family roots into a nationwide operator. – Orla McCaffrey
Patrick McHenry
While the influence of any given chair in the House is limited when Congress is gridlocked, McHenry has signaled an ambitious agenda in the coming years. He wants to
He's also set to be an influential voice on developing a framework to regulate digital assets. Despite disagreements with Democrats on the particulars, McHenry is already working
Ken Montgomery
That effort will come to a head in 2023, as the initial production rollout of the FedNow service is targeted for between May and July. Additional features will come in later phases.
The Fed has taken a lot of hits over the project. Some critics argue that the U.S. central bank shouldn't be competing with the private sector. The RTP network, operated by The Clearing House, which is owned by the nation's largest banks, launched back in 2017.
Other critics contend that the Fed has moved too slowly, comparing the U.S. unfavorably with countries where government-led real-time payment systems have long been operational. "We want to take the time to get it right," Montgomery told American Banker in 2020.
The success or failure of FedNow will depend in substantial part on the design decisions made by Montgomery and his Federal Reserve colleagues. And next year is make-or-break time. —Kevin Wack
Anthony Noto
Anthony Noto, CEO of SoFi, is leading those efforts to develop the company into a one-stop shop. SoFi started out refinancing student loans, but has expanded to offer mortgages and other loans, a credit card, investments, insurance, career coaching and more. Some of these products were homegrown, some provided through partnerships. Such diversification has been, and will continue to be, an important defense against volatility in the student loan refinancing market and economy in general.
Before and after its Golden Pacific Bancorp acquisition, SoFi also purchased technology firms to further its ambitions, such as the payments and digital banking firm
More growth is
Zach Perret
The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau's anticipated data-sharing rule, which the agency will write to meet a requirement of section 1033 of the Dodd-Frank Act, will have a big impact on Plaid, the Grand Central Terminal of bank data. The Federal Reserve's efforts to modernize the payment system with FedNow will also affect the company, Perret said.
Plaid recently launched new products for identity matching, risk and fraud. And it continues to move its clients from screen scraping to a model of data sharing involving application programming interfaces.
"If I had a magic wand, I'd love to see an end to screen scraping at some point achievable," CEO Zach Perret said in an interview. "The practical realities are that there are many small banks that don't have solutions for this in place yet. So it probably won't be 2023, but maybe it's 2024 that we can achieve an end to screen scraping."
In 2020, when Visa and Plaid planned to merge, a Department of Justice complaint that kiboshed the deal included a picture of the threat Plaid posed to the industry that a Visa executive had drawn on a napkin. It showed a volcano-like iceberg. In the visible tip of the iceberg were written, "Bank connections, Account validation, Asset confirmation." Unseen below the water line were the phrases, "Fraud tools & reporting, Identity matching, Credit decisioning/underwriting, Payments rails and delivery, Advertising & marketing, Financial management." The gist of the DOJ's overall complaint about the deal was that Visa was already a monopoly and merging with Plaid would make it far more so. The government was also concerned that Plaid was planning to build its own alternative to Visa debit.
Perret said Plaid is simply building services around connecting bank accounts to fintechs.
"Our job is to deal with a lot of the complexity of the financial system and simplify it into something that consumers and our customers can interact with really easily," he said. People have to verify their identity, for example, when they sign up for a new financial product, so Plaid offers identity verification. Risk and fraud analysis for accounts that have just been linked are also a fit for the company, he said.
As for the DOJ's charge that Plaid is building a competing debit system that could threaten Visa and Mastercard, Perret said Plaid supports customers that use all the existing payment mechanisms, including the automated clearing house, credit debit cards and wires.
"Our primary role is accelerating this concept of bank-linked everything — bank-linked payments, for example," he said. "We are broadly very supportive, though, of financial rail innovation." –Penny Crosman
Bill Rogers
His leadership at Truist began in September 2021, only two years after the $28 billion blockbuster merger of BB&T and SunTrust Banks created the nation's seventh-largest banking company.
When the deal was announced in 2019, it was the industry's largest since the Great Recession. Now, as the $548 billion-asset company faces a series of ongoing challenges, it has come to represent the risks and possibilities of big-bank mergers.
In taking command at Truist, headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina, Rogers is balancing the usual challenges of running a recently merged company with the demands of maneuvering a banking company through economic uncertainty.
The pandemic delayed integration efforts and made it harder to meet a cost-reduction goal of $1.6 billion. While Truist announced the completion of its core conversion at the start of this year, the bank has continued to report operational losses into the third quarter.
At the same time, stiffening competition from upstart fintechs has forced Rogers to respond with investments in technology and digital services.
At the same time, Rogers' profile within the industry has risen — partly by design.
"Truist is a purpose-driven company that's dedicated to inspire and build better lives and communities," Rogers said in October during the bank's third-quarter earnings call. "In order to inspire, it's often necessary to be bold and to be first." —Jordan Stutts
Dan Schulman
"It will be interesting to hear what the next act is with PayPal. Their BNPL solution is excellent, and Venmo is well-established," said Brian Riley, director of Mercator Advisory Group's Credit Advisory Service. —John Adams
Sebastian Siemiatkowski
The company also faced
"With a potential recession on the horizon, investors require [a return on investment] sooner than later," said Brian Riley, director of Mercator Advisory Group's Credit Advisory Service. —John Adams
Nikolay Storonsky
Another new offering, a
Sandra Thompson
Still, it remains unclear what role Fannie and Freddie should be playing amid a spiraling housing affordability crisis. Thompson has been focused on making changes that would help close both the racial wealth gap and homeownership gap to boost the market share of minority borrowers. Given the jump in mortgage rates and a dearth of housing inventory, the changes have been mostly at the margins.
Thompson also caused a stir this year by launching a nearly 100-year review of the Federal Home Loan Bank System. Critics of the Home Loan banks claim the banking cooperative receives billions of dollars a year in corporate welfare while providing a negligible return to taxpayers to fund affordable housing programs. The review is still ongoing. — Kate Berry